Several folks have asked me recently if I could do an update on the
Shigefusa pricing post that I did here back in March. Several interesting pieces have hit the market between March and now and, I guess, there is a need for context.
Okay, so first some info about the data set. My excel file now contains 270+ Shigefusa transactions between 2011 and YTD 2017; its a mix of KKF and 3rd party vendors, with 2/3rd of the transactions of the last 3 years. Simple explanation for that is: thats when I started keeping record. Lastly, the data set is all public information.
First question I always get is: do prices increase? Yes, they do and they have been accelerating in the past 3 years:
The data is for Wa Handle only, Single & Double Bevel mixed:
· Kasumi: 7 year CAGR is 7%, CAGR of the last 3 years: 11%
· Kitaeji : 6 year CAGR is 4%, CAGR of the last 3 years: 6%
· Kurouchi: 6 year CAGR is 8%, CAGR of the last 3 years: 20%
Second question I get is: is this knife a fair/good/bad/outrageous/insane deal?
This question is multifactorial, emotional and rational at the same time, only thing I can do here is give you the box plots with whiskers:
How to read? Simple, take the price in USD, divide by the length of the knife in mm. This will give you a $ price per mm. The blue dot is the Mean, whiskers give min/max max values recorded, box itself is 50% of values.
The third most asked question:
Can you help me price my Shig, or
What price did the last xx sell for?
Yes, I can help you with this, just shoot me an KKF pm. If you want a custom answer, same process.